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Showing posts with the label 2024

Analysis: The 10 U.S. Senate Seats Most Likely to Flip

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  The 2024 presidential election has grabbed most of the headlines recently, but the U.S. Senate races are taking shape under the radar. Here is a preview of the 10 most likely to flip. West Virginia – Open (D): It’s not that often that every elections analyst in the country concurs on something, but I suspect you will get unanimous agreement that this seat is far and away the most likely Senate seat to flip. Joe Manchin is a Democrat who has basically been swimming against a Republican tide since he won the seat in a 2010 special election. Two years prior, John McCain carried the state by 12 points over Barack Obama. Donald Trump won it by almost 40 points in 2020. It’s unlikely that even the popular Manchin, who won narrowly in the good Democratic year of 2018, could emerge victorious, but with his retirement, the seat is just gone. Montana – Jon Tester (D): Reasonable minds can disagree about whether Montana or Ohio is the more vulnerable seat. Tester is probably a bet...

TONIGHT: 2024 Republican Presidential Candidates Gear Up for Miami Debate Without Trump

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  Republican 2024 presidential candidates will gather Wednesday night in Miami to duke it out as the primary season continues. The Republican National Committee released a full list of candidates who meet the donor and support criteria and who are expected to debate tonight: Former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie Florida Governor Ron DeSantis Former South Carolina Governor and Ambassador Nikki Haley Businessman Vivek Ramaswamy Senator Tim Scott, R-S.C. The list of candidates has narrowed in recent weeks as candidates dropped out after failing to gain momentum. The biggest dropout among them was Vice President Mike Pence, who stepped out of the race at the end of October saying “it is not my time.” Notably, former President Donald Trump will skip the debate and hold a rally in Hialeah, a Florida city adjacent to Miami and just minutes from the GOP debate. Trump has said the voters know who he is and that he should not have to debate opponen...